Monday, March 18, 2013

[News] Rising Powers and the end...or beginning of International Law

So this article about how the Falklands is the unhealthy obsession with slightly more than half of Argentianians and how the president of Argentina is willing to bring it up with the Pope, shows that international law as a norm might be under threat.  But let us be honest here, international law is really an agreed to hegemony between major world powers, which largely consisted of the United States and Europe, and most of the rising powers do not share that same geographical heritage. 

It does not speak well for the peace of nations...because the old guard all has nukes...and the new guard is getting them.  This has lead to some acceptable norms.  Granted, those norms blatantly favored the old regimes, but they more or less worked on a diplomatic front.  Imperialism was a thing of the past...but Argentina wants its own imperialism.  So does China.  Rising powers need military vindication to prove their status, they need a war victory. 

This is as old as human history.  The 20th century and institutions such as the United Nations and the League of Nations were supposed to change this pattern.  To some degree they did, but the United Nations was made largely unfunctional by design and certainly by execution through the veto power of the security council and its permanent members.  There is no provision in international law for rising powers....well, there is, but it seems to be not adding permanent security council members.  India is now far more a power than France, but it isn't on the board, nor is Brazil. 

This lack of respect by the international community is part of the reason all of South America is lining up behind the Argentinian Imperialism, and how many anti americans around the world are able to use the same kind of Pretzle Logic that American conservatives use to justify how Argentianian Imperialism now is any different than British Imperialism two centuries ago.

However this article gives me some hope.  First, that nations that have up to now been stomped by the old guard are fighting back, and are willing to challenge the status quo to do so, but they are also trying to use international institutions first, or at least international protocols.  India, at the least, seems to say it cares about international law.  Of course, so does China and so does Imperial Argentina, but they only care about international laws so far as they apply to them.

Then again, so does the old guard.  How will these protocols stand up to this conflict?  Will we survive? The next few decades...hell...the next decade, will prove rather interesting.

But if they are strengthened to allow diplomacy, rather than force of arms, a chance to succeed, does that mean that the Republican War Criminals of the United States...and perhaps even their Democratic Enablers will be held to an international tribunal? And if they are...will they be capable of discerning between covert strikes against a hostile power that harbors terrorists within its borders and someone who orders troops to instigate tortures against third party nationals?

We shall see.

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