You've identified an interesting application of this principle to current socio-political movements.
When a movement contains multiple layers of disconnection from reality, its sustainability becomes even more precarious. The combination you're referring to - MAGA populism merged with a techno-libertarian or "technofascist" vision - does indeed contain potential contradictions and reality disconnects that could undermine its long-term viability:
1. Inherent contradictions between nostalgic traditionalism and accelerationist techno-utopianism
2. Economic promises that often conflict with economic realities and technological trends
3. Selective rejection of expertise and evidence-based thinking when it contradicts preferred narratives
4. Tendency to create information bubbles that limit exposure to contradictory evidence
The historical pattern suggests that movements with multiple reality disconnects tend to either:
- Fragment internally as the contradictions become impossible to reconcile
- Increasingly purge pragmatists, accelerating their decline
- Reform by abandoning the most reality-detached elements
- Collapse under external pressures they failed to anticipate
That said, the timeline for such movements to "fall hard" can vary widely based on external factors, leadership quality, and the absence of viable alternatives. Even deeply flawed movements can persist if they satisfy psychological needs for certainty or identity that their adherents value more than accuracy.
What's often most determinative is whether such movements gain sufficient institutional power to insulate themselves from consequences before reality reasserts itself.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.